About TrendArc Invest

Built for individual investors who want to see the whole board.

TrendArc Invest is an independent publisher of US market research. We combine a daily macro picture with a calibrated three-factor score for every name in our 2,400-stock US universe — so subscribers can read the regime and the scoreboard in one place, free, every day.

Our weekly newsletter goes out every Friday. Subscribers also get our proprietary regime model — rare but high-conviction sell and buy signals built to keep you from riding the next major crash fully invested.

Health

Fundamental durability. Five-year ROIC stability, gross-margin consistency, FCF conversion, R&D intensity — what survives a real downcycle.

Momentum

Price + breadth. Distance from 40-week MA, RSI regime, relative strength vs SPY, weekly MACD, 12-month RS rank — leadership before reflexivity.

Moat

Structural quality. 48% gross-margin stability + 41% ROIC durability + 7% FCF conversion + 4% R&D intensity. Sigmoid-normalized so fortress names like V / MA / MSFT aren't penalized for low R&D.

How the TrendArc Score works

We blend the three component scores into a single TrendArc Score (0–100):

TrendArc = clamp( 50 + (raw − 50) × 1.20, 0, 100 )
where raw = 46% × Health + 31% × Momentum + 23% × Moat

The 1.20× symmetric stretch around 50 widens the distribution into the full 0–100 range without bonuses or penalties — the cleanest possible mental model. Median anchored exactly at 50. Sentinel scores for context: LLY 91.9 · NVDA 89.9 · GOOGL 81.9 · V 81.6 · AAPL 77.7 · MSFT 61.9 · TSLA 39.6 · WMT 37.3 · XOM 20.8 · COIN 9.3.

Data sources

Fundamentals: SEC EDGAR (10-K / 10-Q XBRL filings, 5-year aggregates)
Macro: FRED (Federal Reserve), ISM, ICE BofA, BEA, CNN Fear & Greed, Squeezemetrics GEX
Prices: Alpaca (IEX feed) for equities, Polygon for options, CoinGecko for crypto
Index components: official S&P 500 / Nasdaq 100 / DJI / Russell 2000 membership

Legal framing

TrendArc Invest publishes financial newsletters under the publisher's exclusion of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (Section 202(a)(11), Lowe v. SEC). Our content is impersonal, bona fide, and circulated on a regular schedule. We do not manage subscriber accounts, hold subscriber funds, or give individualized investment advice.

Full legal language is on the Disclaimer page.